{"$schema": "https://iptc.org/std/ninjs/ninjs-schema_3.2.json", "uri": "urn:newsml:wireva.mib.news:item:37778cfc-92a5-4cb3-81de-44b6f2dddd91", "type": "text", "profile": "standard", "version": "1", "versioncreated": "2026-10-31T08:35:34.932749Z", "firstcreated": "2026-10-31T08:35:19.143813Z", "pubstatus": "usable", "urgency": 5, "language": "en", "headline": "Model by data scientist Thomas Miller gives Republicans one-in-six chance to hold Senate", "byline": "Callum Montgomery", "located": "United Kingdom", "copyrightholder": "Haydamax OÜ", "copyrightnotice": "Wireva / Hublcore", "usageterms": "Monitoring item. Headline, short extract and the source link may be shown. Do not republish the full text.", "description_text": "Thomas Miller's non-AI forecasting model, which draws on prediction market prices, puts the Republicans' chance of keeping the Senate at about 17 per cent five days before the midterm elections, down from roughly 35 per cent in mid-September.", "altids": {"mosaic": "37778cfc-92a5-4cb3-81de-44b6f2dddd91", "story": "188123c5-2384-4fa2-9839-a4b28029f210", "slug": "model-by-data-scientist-thomas-miller-gives-republicans-one-in-six-chance-to-hold-senate"}, "subject": [{"name": "Economy and business", "rel": "direct", "literal": "economy", "code": "medtop:04000000", "scheme": "http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/mediatopic/", "uri": "http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/mediatopic/04000000"}], "place": [{"name": "United Kingdom", "literal": "gb", "code": "GB", "scheme": "http://cv.iptc.org/newscodes/countrycodes/"}], "person": [], "organisation": [], "genre": [{"name": "Standard story", "literal": "standard"}], "service": [{"name": "Wireva", "literal": "wireva"}], "body_text": "Thomas Miller's non-AI forecasting model, which draws on prediction market prices, puts the Republicans' chance of keeping the Senate at about 17 per cent five days before the midterm elections, down from roughly 35 per cent in mid-September.", "extra_body_note": "Extract only — see rights.class = link_only.", "associations": {"featuremedia": {"uri": "urn:newsml:wireva.mib.news:media:2679006c-f316-45a9-b2f3-1d7e1857d5be", "type": "picture", "version": "1", "pubstatus": "usable", "headline": "This top data scientist’s (non-AI) model finds Republicans have just one chance in six of holding Senate", "description_text": "Model by data scientist Thomas Miller gives Republicans one-in-six chance to hold Senate", "copyrightholder": "fortune.com", "copyrightnotice": "This top data scientist’s (non-AI) model finds Republicans have just one chance in six of holding Senate", "usageterms": "Picture belongs to the source publication: address and terms are delivered, the file is not.", "altids": {"wireva": "2679006c-f316-45a9-b2f3-1d7e1857d5be"}, "extra": {"wireva:delivery_mode": "link_only", "wireva:rights": {"licence": "", "licence_url": "", "licence_raw": "RSS source", "licence_verified_at": "2026-10-31T08:35:34.955902Z", "attribution_required": true, "attribution_text": "This top data scientist’s (non-AI) model finds Republicans have just one chance in six of holding Senate", "redistribution_allowed": false, "commercial_use_allowed": false, "modifications_allowed": false, "share_alike_required": false}, "wireva:provenance": {"creator": "", "source_name": "fortune.com", "source_url": "https://fortune.com/img-assets/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/GettyImages-2301317478-e1793422480929.jpg?w=2048", "source_page_url": "https://fortune.com/img-assets/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/GettyImages-2301317478-e1793422480929.jpg?w=2048", "our_page_url": "https://hublcore.com/politics/model-by-data-scientist-thomas-miller-gives-republicans-one-in-six-chance-to-hold-senate/"}, "wireva:role": "lead"}, "renditions": {"source": {"href": "https://fortune.com/img-assets/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/GettyImages-2301317478-e1793422480929.jpg?w=2048", "mimetype": "image/jpeg"}}}}, "extra": {"wireva:story": {"uri": "urn:newsml:wireva.mib.news:story:188123c5-2384-4fa2-9839-a4b28029f210", "slug": "starbucks-72-20261031", "status": "updated", "languages": ["en", "uk"], "item_count": 3, "is_breaking": false}, "wireva:rights": {"class": "link_only", "redistribution_allowed": false, "commercial_use_allowed": false, "modifications_allowed": true, "share_alike_required": false, "attribution_required": true, "attribution_text": "Wireva / Hublcore", "canonical_required": true, "canonical_url": "https://hublcore.com/politics/model-by-data-scientist-thomas-miller-gives-republicans-one-in-six-chance-to-hold-senate/", "linkback_required": true, "licence": "", "licence_url": "", "licensor": "Haydamax OÜ", "valid_until": null, "excerpt_max_chars": 280, "decided_by_rule": "derivation_failed", "needs_review": true}, "wireva:provenance": {"production_method": "automated", "ai_stages": {"editing": true, "drafting": true, "headline": true, "discovery": true, "classification": true, "image_selection": true, "source_collection": true, "cross_source_comparison": true}, "model": "", "human_reviewed": false, "reviewed_by": "", "reviewed_at": null, "editorial_control": true, "editorial_responsibility": "Haydamax OÜ (Wireva)", "factchecked": false, "verification_status": "multi_source", "independent_confirmations": 2, "official_source_used": false, "used_press_release": false, "public_interest": true, "ai_disclosure_required": true, "ai_disclosure_text": "This item was produced with AI assistance under the editorial responsibility of Haydamax OÜ.", "independence_check": {"status": "failed", "score": 0.688, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T08:35:34.952209Z"}}, "wireva:publication": {"name": "Hublcore", "domain": "hublcore.com", "country": "GB", "url": "https://hublcore.com/politics/model-by-data-scientist-thomas-miller-gives-republicans-one-in-six-chance-to-hold-senate/"}, "wireva:links": {"self": "https://wireva.mib.news/api/v1/items/37778cfc-92a5-4cb3-81de-44b6f2dddd91", "html": "https://wireva.mib.news/item/37778cfc-92a5-4cb3-81de-44b6f2dddd91/model-by-data-scientist-thomas-miller-gives-republicans-one-in-six-chance-to-hold-senate/", "story": "https://wireva.mib.news/story/starbucks-72-20261031/"}, "wireva:metrics": {"word_count": 807, "char_count": 4701, "reading_time_seconds": 336}}}