The gap between expected stock returns and inflation-protected Treasury yields has shrunk to roughly one percentage point, far below its historical average, as rising real rates make bonds unusually competitive with equities.
Equity Risk Premium Narrows to Near Zero as Real Yields Surge
The gap between expected stock returns and inflation-protected Treasury yields has shrunk to roughly one percentage point, far below its historical average, as rising real rates make bonds unusually competitive with equities.
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