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October Historically Best Month for Stocks in Midterm Years, Data Shows

Historical data since 1950 shows October is the best-performing month for the S&P 500 in midterm election years, averaging a 3% gain with positive returns 73.7% of the time. November ranks second, while September has been the weakest month. UBS and J.P. Morgan research confirm the pattern, though this year's strong year-to-date gains raise questions about whether the historical trend will hold.

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Historical data since 1950 shows October is the best-performing month for the S&P 500 in midterm election years, averaging a 3% gain with positive returns 73.7% of the time. November ranks second, while September has been the weakest month. UBS and J.P. Morgan research confirm t…

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